Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.037129 0.040078 0.043173 0.046667 0.050508 0.054607 0.059322
2025-04-20 0.032408 0.036577 0.041193 0.046703 0.053126 0.060408 0.069334
2025-04-27 0.029556 0.034499 0.040199 0.047301 0.055973 0.066292 0.079615
2025-05-04 0.027036 0.032404 0.038798 0.047045 0.057502 0.070454 0.087922
2025-05-11 0.025084 0.030742 0.037669 0.046873 0.058929 0.074395 0.096080
2025-05-18 0.023427 0.029271 0.036599 0.046590 0.060062 0.077896 0.103798
2025-05-25 0.022089 0.028082 0.035759 0.046476 0.061316 0.081540 0.111901
2025-06-01 0.020708 0.026727 0.034583 0.045782 0.061659 0.083869 0.118225
2025-06-08 0.019416 0.025401 0.033345 0.044885 0.061601 0.085551 0.123643
2025-06-15 0.018416 0.024405 0.032483 0.044433 0.062104 0.088023 0.130387
2025-06-22 0.017529 0.023509 0.031699 0.044020 0.062604 0.090475 0.137240
2025-06-29 0.016581 0.022475 0.030656 0.043153 0.062339 0.091697 0.142156
2025-07-06 0.016101 0.022088 0.030525 0.043639 0.064182 0.096357 0.153222
2025-07-13 0.015509 0.021509 0.030081 0.043616 0.065218 0.099789 0.162498
2025-07-20 0.015117 0.021199 0.030011 0.044154 0.067164 0.104822 0.175027
2025-07-27 0.014549 0.020598 0.029472 0.043916 0.067816 0.107711 0.183921
2025-08-03 0.014041 0.020064 0.029004 0.043756 0.068572 0.110809 0.193462
2025-08-10 0.013543 0.019522 0.028494 0.043495 0.069128 0.113573 0.202596
2025-08-17 0.013115 0.019067 0.028097 0.043391 0.069934 0.116821 0.212965
2025-08-24 0.012591 0.018442 0.027403 0.042752 0.069758 0.118252 0.219785
2025-08-31 0.012058 0.017780 0.026623 0.041926 0.069193 0.118908 0.225047
2025-09-07 0.011643 0.017291 0.026099 0.041509 0.069334 0.120895 0.233287
2025-09-14 0.011260 0.016837 0.025613 0.041129 0.069515 0.122955 0.241871